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Numbers favor UK by 6 at Georgia

By RICHARD CHEEKS

After a slide that spanned more than 4 weeks, the Cats have not only found bottom but bounced off that bottom with their second consecutive solid game. On Tuesday night, the Cats avenged their earlier 2 point loss at Tennessee with a powerful 25 point win. In that winning effort, the Cats played their strongest overall game since they dismantled Texas A&M in early January. In the first half, the Cats methodically built a 15 point lead and in the second half there was never any chance for Tennessee to entertain thoughts of climbing back into the game.

In the second half, the Cats extended the 15 point halftime lead to a game high 28 points near the end of the game.

The strong team effort resulted from very solid play by several individual players. The players seemed to make substantial improvements. Malik Monk grabbed 8 rebounds, four in each half. Edrice (BAM) Adebayo demonstrated deftness in decision making in the post that found Derek Willis, Malik Monk, Mychal Mulder, and Dominique Hawkins on the perimeter for 3 pointers when the Vols’ defensive strategy was to stop Edrice (BAM) Adebayo in the post with double and triple team defenders.

Furthermore, when Tennessee finally had to abandon this defensive plan because of the Cats’ outstanding perimeter shooting, Edrice (BAM) Adebayo scored at will in the post against a single defender. The 3 point shooting by Derek Willis and Malik Monk was outstanding, and De’Aaron Fox played the entire game with no turnovers.

The wins at Alabama and against Tennessee has lifted the Big Blue Nation’s mood. The fan base quickly recognized the quality of play that this team had routinely demonstrated in November, December, and early January. Now, the Cats now head to Athens, Georgia for a rematch with those Dawgs. In their first encounter with Georgia this season, the Cats started poorly, falling behind 12-0 in the first 3 ½ minutes of the game. The Cats fought for the remainder of the first half to draw even at the buzzer, 29-29.

In the second half, the Cats opened strong, and moved to a 6 point lead, 39-33, and maintained that lead through the under 8 media timeout. However, Georgia pulled even with the Cats, 70-70 with 3:47 remaining in the game. Georgia moves on top 76-74 with 22 seconds left. Malik Monk was able to make a jump shot from the left baseline to tie the score and send the game into overtime. In the overtime, the Cats managed to secure a hard fought 90-81 win.

Since leaving Rupp with the overtime loss, GEORGIA lost its next two games, at #27 South Carolina by 2 and to #6 Florida by 12. The Dawgs stopped their 3 game losing skid with a 1 point win at #42 Tennessee and over #98 Mississippi State by 7. GEORGIA enters the game with a 15-11; 6-7 record. GEORGIA enters this game with an ANE of 0.137 points per possession against a strength of schedule of 0.1025 ppp (#14).

The Cats enter this game with an ANE of 0.295 ppp against a strength of schedule of 0.0862 ppp (#28). The ANE analysis indicates a Kentucky win by 6 points, 76-70 at apace of 73 possessions. This would produce game efficiencies of 1.036 ppp and 0.954 ppp. Pomeroy sees this game in Kentucky’s favor by 6 points 79-73 at a pace of 73 possessions, and Vegas has opened with the Cats favored by 7.

Use the following link to see how other UK fans handicap this game at 247Sports, The Cats Pause message board:
http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2016-17DataandWritings/247_PREDICTIONS/27_Predictions.png

You can participate in the score prediction contest at 247Sports at the following link:
http://kentucky.247sports.com/Board/296/Contents/Georgia-Prediction-Thread-51297458

5 comments

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  1. Mike

    Upset Alert….this game scares me big time. Just watch KU close out Baylor…ditto for Duke. I wouldn’t want to play either one of these 2, among many others, in the week’s ahead. Right now these 2 teams tougher than us, play with a sense of urgency, and have better defense.

  2. OldFan

    I just turned them off. Can’t stand terrible basketball with very little effort and very little attention to details. This team has to have the lowest bb IQ of all but 1 other team Cal has had at UK. I just do not see a desire to be a team with this group.

  3. Mike

    I almost decided to join you by tuning out but just hung in there to confirm how bad we actually are. This is not the UK team we were groomed for before the season started and early on.

  4. TheProfessor

    Analysis:
    UK scored its 82 points on 74 possessions (1.108 ppp) for the game, and GEORGIA scored its 77 points on 76 possessions (1.013 ppp).
    Kentucky won the battle of the boards 41-26, and the Cats won the battle of the offensive glass 14-2. Kentucky used its 14 second chance possessions to score 8 second chance points, and GEORGIA used its 2 second chance possessions to score 0 second chance points. GEORGIA had an offensive efficiency of 1.013 ppp on its 76 first chance possessions and 0.000 ppp for its 2 second chance possessions. UK had 1.000 ppp on its 74 first chance possessions and 0.571 ppp on its 14 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 36.8% of its misses as offensive rebounds while GEORGIA was able to convert 6.9% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
    UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 23-28 [82.1%]. GEORGIA made 18-24 [75.0%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 26-61 overall [42.6%] and 7-21 from long range [33.3%]. For GEORGIA , their field goal shooting from inside the arc was 25-40 [62.5%] and from long range, GEORGIA hit 3-15 [20.0%].
    The Cats committed 14 turnovers, one for every 5.3 possessions. The Cats forced 11 GEORGIA turnovers, one for every 6.9 possessions.
    Next Game On Schedule: Tuesday evening, February 21, 2017 at 9:00 pm at Columbia against Missouri in the 28th regular season game and 15th SEC of the 2016-17 season.

  5. Larry Pup

    The Cats found a way to win, I’m very happy for them. Georgia is far better than their record indicates. Frazier is the real deal also. UK had to beat a good Georgia team in spite of the men in striped shirts if you ask me. When the game was on the line down the stretch though, UK got it done. I thought UK played hard the whole game and Georgia did. The big show down against the Gators looms just ahead at Rupp, and the Cats can settle the score. One more thing, the only bad thing about that basketball game yesterday, IMO, was having to listen to Dick Vitale run his mouth for two hours. He gets on my nerves.

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