Numbers favor Kentucky by 14 points over Texas A&M

Isaiah Briscoe (Wade Upchurch Photo)

By RICHARD CHEEKS

Last Thursday night, the road team won each of the five SEC games that start this season. Kentucky was among the road victors with a resounding 23 point win over Mississippi, 99-76. The Cats’ next SEC opponent, Texas A&M was a home loser, falling to Tennessee by 10 points.
The 23 point margin is the largest UK win margin in an SEC opener of the Calipari Era. Kentucky played about as well as it can during the first half of the game, blasting to a 21 point halftime lead, 60-39. The Cats coasted home to the win in the second half.

The individual highlights in this game included a triple double by Isaiah Briscoe, who becomes only the third player in UK’s storied basketball history to have a triple double basketball game, but it is the second such accomplishment by a player on this team. In addition, Malik Monk again was a scoring machine.

TEXAS A&M enters the game with a 8-4; 0-1 record while the Cats return to Rupp for the first time since early December with a 11-2; 1-0 record. The Aggies losses have been to #12 UCLA by 7 at a neutral location, and at home to #49 USC by 2, #14 Arizona by 4, and #63 Tennessee by 10. Texas A&M’s most impressive win was over #31 Virginia Tech by 3 on a neutral court.

Texas A&M enters this game with an ANE of 0.134 points per possession against a strength of schedule of -0.235 ppp (#252). The Cats enter this game with an ANE of 0.315 ppp against a strength of schedule of 0.0438 ppp (#55).

The ANE analysis indicates a Kentucky win by 14 points, 81-67 at apace of 71 possessions. This would produce game efficiencies of 1.136 ppp and 0.940 ppp. Pomeroy sees this game in Kentucky’s favor by 15 points, 82-67 at a pace of 71 possessions.

Use the following link to see how other UK fans handicap this game at 247Sports, The Cats Pause message board:
http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2016-17DataandWritings/247_PREDICTIONS/14_Predictions.png

You can participate in the score prediction contest at 247Sports at the following link:
http://kentucky.247sports.com/Board/296/Contents/Texas-AM-Prediction-Thread-50112283

1 comment

  1. Analysis:
    UK scored its 100 points on 71 possessions (1.408 ppp) for the game, and TEXAS A&M scored its 58 points on 70 possessions (0.829 ppp).
    Kentucky won the battle of the boards 30-28, and Kentucky won the battle of the offensive glass 13-9. Kentucky used its 13 second chance possessions to score 21 second chance points, and TEXAS A&M used its 9 second chance possessions to score 3 second chance points. TEXAS A&M had an offensive efficiency of 0.786 ppp on its 70 first chance possessions and 0.333 ppp for its 9 second chance possessions. UK had 1.113 ppp on its 71 first chance possessions and 1.615 ppp on its 13 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 40.6% of its misses as offensive rebounds while TEXAS A&M was able to convert 34.6% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
    UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 21-26 [80.8%]. TEXAS A&M made 10-17 [58.8%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 33-67 overall [52,4%] and 13-25 from long range [52,0%]. For TEXAS A&M , their field goal shooting from inside the arc was 15-34 [44.1%] and from long range, TEXAS A&M hit 6-13 [46.2%].
    The Cats committed 9 turnovers, one for every 7.9 possessions. The Cats forced 25 TEXAS A&M turnovers, one for every 2.8 possessions.
    Next Game On Schedule: Saturday, January 7, 2017 at 8:30 pm at Rupp Arena against Arkansas in the fifteenth regular season game and third SEC game of the 2016-17 season.

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