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Guest post: Can Cats continue historic march through SEC?

Isaiah Briscoe (Vicky Graff Photo)

By RICHARD CHEEKS

On Saturday night, the Kentucky Wildcats defeated a strong Arkansas Razorbacks team by 26 points to advance their SEC start to 3-0. However, as Vesper Lind pointed out to James Bond, there are 3-0 starts and there are 3-0 starts, and this is the latter. The Cats have opened their 2017 SEC season with wins of 23, 42, and 26 points.

Tom Leach, near the end of the game on Saturday said he had quickly checked the records for the last time any UK team opened SEC play with three 20+ wins, and indicated it may have occurred at some time in the 1950s.

It is appropriate to document rare achievements of UK teams when they occur. On first blush, it appears that the Cats opened their 1956 SEC season in this manner with wins of 53 over Georgia Tech, 22 over Tulane, and 42 over LSU, all at Memorial Coliseum. However, the Cats opened their season on December 4, 1955 at LSU with a 10 point win. Therefore, 1955-56 is not such a start. The 1955 Cats did not start this way. Neither did the teams in the seasons of 1957 through 2016.

However, it is notable that Dan Issel’s 1969-70 team fell 1 point short of this accomplishment, beating Mississippi by 22, Mississippi State by 45, and at Florida by 19. In addition, two Pitino teams had similar starts in 1994-95 and 1995-96 in which his Cats fell short in 1995 by only winning at Florida by 16 in their third game and in 1996 by only winning at Mississippi State by 18.

Therefore, no Cats team has achieved what this team has done in its first 3 SEC games in any of the last 51 seasons. In 1953-54, the Cats posted their only undefeated season, 24-0. The UK history buffs all know that this team was a powerhouse that the NCAA found a “rule” to prohibit it from winning another NCAA title. That team opened its SEC season with wins over Georgia Tech by 52, Tulane by 51, and at Tennessee by 26. That team continued its rampage through the SEC with wins of 22 at Vanderbilt, 51 at Georgia Tech, 51 against Georgia, 32 at Georgia, 41 at Florida, 26 against Mississippi, 27 against Tennessee, 36 against Vanderbilt, 30 at Auburn, 25 at Alabama, and by only 13 points against LSU. By my count, that is 12 consecutive SEC games won by 20 or more points. What a team the Hagan, Ramsey, Tsioropoulos group were!!!!

The Cats did not play a schedule in 1953 due to a NCAA death penalty. For the record, no UK team from 1952 back to 1942 achieved this strong SEC start either.

Can these Cats continue winning by 20 or more points like the 1953-54 team did, or will its march through the 2017 SEC field in a somewhat less dominating manner? These Cats will have their next opportunity to put their fingerprints on UK basketball history and lore on Tuesday night when they take on Vanderbilt in Nashville.

VANDERBILT enters the game with a 8-7; 2-1 record. The Commodores lost games to #38 Marquette by 24 (Neutral), to #97 Bucknell by 3, to #15 Butler by 10 (Neutral), to #31 Minnesota by 4 (Neutral), at #58 Middle Tennessee by 23, at #34 Dayton by 3, and at #70 Alabama by 3. The Commodores’ most impressive win this season has been over #59 Chattanooga by 2 in Nashville. Vanderbilt enters this game with an ANE of 0.115 points per possession against a strength of schedule of 6.09 ppp (#25). The Cats enter this game with an ANE of 0.343 ppp against a strength of schedule of 4.31 ppp (#51).

The ANE analysis indicates a Kentucky win by 12 points, 81-69 at apace of 73 possessions. This would produce game efficiencies of 1.102 ppp and 0.939 ppp. Pomeroy sees this game in Kentucky’s favor by 11 points, 85-74 at a pace of 73 possessions.

Use the following link to see how other UK fans handicap this game at 247Sports, The Cats Pause message board:
http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2016-17DataandWritings/247_PREDICTIONS/16_Predictions.png

You can participate in the score prediction contest at 247Sports at the following link:
http://kentucky.247sports.com/Board/296/Contents/Vanderbilt-Prediction-Thread-50376115

1 comment

  1. TheProfessor

    Analysis:
    UK scored its 87 points on 75 possessions (1.160 ppp) for the game, and VANDERBILT scored its 81 points on 74 possessions (1.095 ppp).
    Kentucky won the battle of the boards 40-34, and Kentucky won the battle of the offensive glass 10-5. Kentucky used its 10 second chance possessions to score 9 second chance points, and VANDERBILT used its 5 second chance possessions to score 4 second chance points. VANDERBILT had an offensive efficiency of 1.041 ppp on its 74 first chance possessions and 0.800 ppp for its 5 second chance possessions. UK had 1.040 ppp on its 75 first chance possessions and 0.900 ppp on its 10 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 25.6% of its misses as offensive rebounds while VANDERBILT was able to convert 14.3% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
    UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 18-24 [75.0%]. VANDERBILT made 23-32 [71.9%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 34-67 overall [50.7%] and 1-9 from long range [11.1%]. For VANDERBILT , their field goal shooting from inside the arc was 17-29 [58.6%] and from long range, VANDERBILT hit 8-29 [27.6%].
    The Cats committed 6 turnovers, one for every 12.5 possessions. The Cats forced 7 VANDERBILT turnovers, one for every 10.6 possessions.
    Next Game On Schedule: Saturday afternoon, January 14, 2017 at 4:00 pm at Rupp Arena against Auburn in the 17th regular season game and 5th SEC game of the 2016-17 season.

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